Rank: Elder Joined: 10/11/2006 Posts: 2,299
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mnandii wrote:mnandii wrote:For the two dimwits here, these are the two Elliott Wave Counts am working on. Scenario I  This count suggests that Bitcoin has completed wave (1) (at $9900) and had a small wave (2) retracement (composed of a combination WX and a triangle Y). At the next higher degree, wave 1 and 2 are also complete (respectively at $11,375 and $10,860). Now, this count suggests that we should expect the next leg, a wave 3 rally imediately as depicted by the rising blue trendline. My confidence in this count would continue to rise as wave 3 in Bitcoin rises strongly above $12,000, for example. I had posted this very count earlier on in this thread. Scenario II  This is the second scenario. This count suggests that we have a bigger impulsive wave (1) which completed recently at $12,050. This is the alternate count where I have been suggesting that a bigger correction below $10,000 is a possibility. That correction would take the form of an ABC and complete a bigger wave (2) retracement possibly at $6,900. In both scenarios I expect Bitcoin to rise to levels above $19,000, the previous major high. Only that one count suggests the rally should start immediately while the other suggests a more prolonged time frame. At some point price action in Bitcoin will eliminate one count count so that we remain with the other. If, for example, Bitcoin falls below $9,200, then our scenario I will be eliminated and we'll remain with scenario II as the working preferred Elliott count. It is these conundrums that the cobwebs in your heads have not managed to let you see.  But I hope now you start to get some level of understanding. Bitcoin followed scenario I Jan 4th. Bitcoin was still at $11,000 but Elliott Waves were clear that Bitcoin would rise past $19,000! Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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